Overview

On this page, we discuss the law of total probability.

Basic learning objectives

These are the tasks you should be able to perform with reasonable fluency when you arrive at your next class meeting. Important new vocabulary words are indicated in italics.

  • Use the law of total probability to do probability calculations by partitioning a sample space into two disjoint subsets.

Advanced learning objectives

In addition to mastering the basic objectives, here are the tasks you should be able to perform after class, with practice:

  • Use the law of total probability to do more general probability calculations by partitioning a sample space into any number of disjoint subsets.

  • Use tree diagrams to present calculations involving the law of total probability.

To prepare for class

  • Watch this video introducing the Law of Total Probability:

After class

  • Watch this video (by jbstatistics) explaining the general case of the Law of Total Probability and how to use tree diagrams:


Authors

Brendan Cordy Avatar Brendan Cordy
Gabriel Indurskis Avatar Gabriel Indurskis

Published

Category

probability

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